Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 14.883402 17.053645 19.445787 22.280741 25.552359 29.213615 33.627588
2025-11-09 11.734734 14.497427 17.789344 22.010816 27.295346 33.711193 42.120862
2025-11-16 9.864031 12.849838 16.608846 21.707447 28.472493 37.181960 49.312166
2025-11-23 8.481845 11.536223 15.557983 21.269659 29.220238 39.964969 55.704862
2025-11-30 7.879297 11.132980 15.590749 22.185932 31.767774 45.292914 66.028101
2025-12-07 7.220270 10.551013 15.277560 22.529115 33.474288 49.537078 75.190505
2025-12-14 6.568808 9.894410 14.765633 22.489021 34.557322 52.907779 83.331774
2025-12-21 5.976557 9.255680 14.200488 22.281429 35.318671 55.803992 90.968507
2025-12-28 5.702736 9.071110 14.295060 23.086058 37.716089 61.450843 103.600658
2026-01-04 5.406914 8.817899 14.248426 23.641404 39.735796 66.644243 115.988635
2026-01-11 5.188625 8.666093 14.343044 24.424292 42.189286 72.765658 130.604357
2026-01-18 4.742797 8.092366 13.684809 23.853820 42.231874 74.703404 137.878542
2026-01-25 4.379763 7.634228 13.191585 23.539788 42.723132 77.525381 147.188368
2026-02-01 4.060734 7.225155 12.747271 23.268654 43.259023 80.467757 157.038223
2026-02-08 3.767016 6.835117 12.301097 22.946626 43.655426 83.162572 166.658690
2026-02-15 3.482356 6.437159 11.805815 22.482612 43.724761 85.215042 175.171617
2026-02-22 3.416118 6.439834 12.049029 23.453834 46.692573 93.233613 196.927704
2026-03-01 3.275895 6.289211 11.988288 23.817629 48.465426 99.000326 214.511661
2026-03-08 3.098164 6.050945 11.738162 23.775126 49.390229 103.088440 228.849688
2026-03-15 2.914981 5.787229 11.416459 23.555065 49.914567 106.366224 241.708228
2026-03-22 2.860046 5.777196 11.600509 24.408055 52.823448 115.074597 268.089217
2026-03-29 2.780096 5.709115 11.659698 24.996828 55.202270 122.833141 293.111580
2026-04-05 2.727042 5.692704 11.823861 25.826907 58.198468 132.276560 323.332023